Thursday, October 15, 2015

NFL Power Rankings - Week 6

Every year, we create NFL power rankings based on algorithm, starting about 1/3 of the way of the season. This is based on record, opponent, points scored versus points against, and a few other factors with the total score being listed next to the team name. Here is the first one we're doing for the 2015-2016 season.

1. Green Bay Packers: 152
Notes:  With Seattle playing well below expectations, they look like the team to beat in the NFC.

2. New England Patriots: 151
Notes: Patriots are a great team, but seem to play even better with a chip on their shoulder. They will likely look to rack up a ton of points next week against the Colts after all that took place in the offseason.

3. Arizona Cardinals 149
Notes: With the exception of the loss to the Rams, the Cardinals have been dominating each game. The offense was expected to be good, but their defense has been impressive.

4. Atlanta Falcons: 148
Notes: Despite the fact that they squeaked by a couple of wins and played all sub .500 teams (minus the Giants), 5-0 is 5-0.  They won't face an above .500 team until the Colts in week 11.

5. Cincinnati Bengals:143
Notes: 5-0 for the first time since 1988, the last time they went to the Super Bowl. They look like the best team in the AFC minus the Patriots.

6. Denver Broncos: 123
Notes: Their defense is the reason this team is undefeated so far, not Peyton Manning.

7. Carolina Panthers: 111
Notes: After last year, who would have thought the NFC South would have 2 undefeated teams at this point in the season? They faced pretty easy competition and have their first true "test' against the Seahawks on the road.

8. New York Jets: 83
Notes: This team reminds me a lot of the Jets during the first two of years Sanchez's career. Decent team, great defense, and a QB that's mediocre but competent enough to win games.

9. New York Giants: 56
Notes: Another game winning drive for Eli that puts the Giants in first by themselves in the NFC East. If it wasn't for poor clock management and play calling in the 4th quarter of their first two games, this team could have been 5-0.

10. Pittsburgh Steelers: 56
Notes: A big win without Ben. Could be a deciding game for a wildcard when you factor in Ben coming back in two weeks, the Steelers schedule, and other AFC teams.

11. Buffalo Bills: 52
Notes: The Bills cut penalties and squeaked by a win against the Titans. With McCoy and Watkins expected to come back this week (and Taylor likely not missing any playing time), Bills are in good shape to capture a wildcard. However, next week will be a big challenge against the Bengals.

12. Minnesota Vikings: 13
Notes: Definitely a different, and better, team with Adrian Peterson back.

13. Indianapolis Colts: 12
Notes: The Colts are 2-0 without Luck (even though those opponents were the Jaguars and Texans). Don't expect that to hold up against the Patriots next week.

14. Seattle Seahawks: 11
Notes: Not the same team as last year. After back to back Super Bowl appearances, this team might not even make the playoffs.

15. Philadelphia Eagles: 6
Notes: Chip Kelley better figure it out quickly with the Giants looking great.

16, Washington Redskins: -9
Notes: A better team with Cousins over RG3, but not good enough to be a playoff team.

17. Oakland Raiders: -14
Notes: Much better than last year. The Raiders of last year would not have been even close to beating the Broncos of this year. I can't remember the last time the Raiders were above 20 in the Power Rankings.

18. Tennessee Titans: -14
Notes: After looking great the first game of the season, the Titans have started to fizzle out. 

19. Cleveland Browns: -21
Notes: A nice win by the Browns, but they have a brutal five game stretch coming up.

20. Dallas Cowboys: -25
Notes: They need to figure out how to win without Romo against the Giants or it might be too late by the time he returns.

21. San Diego Chargers: -25
Notes: Rivers looked good, but the Chargers fall to 2-3 with a loss to the Ben-less Steelers.

22. St. Louis Rams: -27
Notes: Definitely better than their 2-3 start. 2 of the losses were against the Steelers with Ben and the Packers and 1 was against the Redskins who they always seem to struggle against. They are 2-0 against division teams and have a stretch of 5 winnable games coming up.

23. Baltimore Ravens: -44
Notes: This team looks like the worst in the AFC North after the Browns held that title for so long.

24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -46
Notes: They already matched their win total of last season, but this team still has a long way to go before becoming competitive.

25. Kansas City Chiefs: -53
Notes: This team had playoff expectations heading into this year, but might end up with one of the worst records in the NFL.

26. Chicago Bears: -56
Notes: Many had them pegged as being the worst, or one of the worst, in the NFL. They are better than that, but will struggle to reach .500.

27. Miami Dolphins: -61
Notes: Philbin is the first coach let go this season and with good reason.

28. Houston Texans: -64
Notes: A game against the Jaguars could decide who ends up in last in the subpar AFC South.

29. New Orleans Saints: -73
Notes: Wow, who would have thought the Saints would be this awful this season. Is this the end of Drew Brees?

30. Jacksonville Jaguars: -84
Notes: Bortles is showing signs of being a good starting QB, but it's not enough for this bad Jags team.

31. San Francisco 49ers: -98
Notes: So close, but they couldn't pull off the upset. With them being in the toughest division in the league, a 2-14 or 3-13 record is quite possible.

32. Detroit Lions: -122
Notes: The only winless team. After being in the playoffs last year, Caldwell is definitely on the hot seat after this bad start.

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